Lec Odds
by Petar Vukobrat in League of Legends Dec, 30th 2018
The LEC is entering a brand new era thanks to franchising, one that’s more visually vibrant but also graced with better financial stability. We will see the return of many top LEC teams like Fnatic and G2 Esports, but we’re also getting a couple of new organizations in the mix, as well as some old fan favorites like Origen and SK Gaming.
Let's take a closer look at a couple of top LEC teams with the potential to make big waves in the 2019 Spring Split. Both teams to score According to the odds of football matches and Computer aided Analysis system.
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In short, if you’re a fan of European League of Legends, exciting times are ahead.
Coming into 2019, almost every single LEC team underwent enormous roster changes. Some altered completely (like Splyce and FC Schalke 04), while others only made a change or two (like Fnatic and G2 Esports). Regardless, the top teams are entering the new regular season on a somewhat level playing field, whereas the middle of the pack has a lot of catching up to do.
While the LEC is predominantly a top-heavy region, things could change in the foreseeable future, and 2019 could be the moment things take a turn for the better. With a couple of promising rookies entering the fray, we will finally witness a fight between the old guard and a new breed of EU talent.
That begs the question: which teams have the biggest chance of making a statement in the Spring Split?
Let’s take a closer look at five LEC teams you should keep an eye on come January, listed in no particular order.
Misfits Gaming
If we were to make a list of top LEC teams that still haven’t won anything, Misfits would have to be at the very top. They’re definitely one of the more unique teams in the region, and they became a household name the moment they stepped foot on stage. It took them just one year to go from the Challenger Series to challenging the perennial LCK titans, SKT T1, at the 2017 World Championship. How often do you hear of such a thing?
That said, their 2018 run was downright underwhelming — to say the least. They failed to attain anything resembling success, and even though they had a couple of great moments, they were too few and far between to warrant a solid finish and a ticket to the World Championship.
Coming into 2019, the organization made three changes that could, by all means, elevate Misfits into championship contention. In fact, you could go a step further and say that if this roster doesn’t win at least one LEC title in 2019, their year should be deemed a failure.
That’s how much potential they have. Seriously.
They have Paul “sOAZ” Boyer in the top lane, a legendary, grizzled veteran who’s been playing since season one, but he’s still at the top of the game. He’s like fine wine — he gets better with age and is somehow completely impervious to meta shifts. Next, Nubar “Maxlore” Sarafian and Steven “Hans Sama” Liv will reprise their roles within the line-up. The fact that misfits has retained two players critical to their success can only be a good sign.
Finally, two additional changes could enable this team to go blow-for-blow with the likes of Fnatic and G2 Esports. Both Fabian “Febiven” Diepstraten and Kang “GorillA” Beom-hyeon are world-class players that will bring a breath of fresh air to the region. While Febiven has a lot to prove this time around, he should be more than able to get back to his old form.
This is an incredibly well-rounded team. They have the tools to compete with the best in the region, and they could become an incredibly dominant team within a couple of months.
Will this Misfits roster finally be able to upset the status quo, and become LEC champions? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure — watching them play next year will be an absolute must.
FC Schalke 04
2018 was the first year in FC Schalke’s LEC stint when they were able to attain some success. They came close to securing a spot at Worlds as well, but ultimately failed to go the extra mile. Unfortunately, history is rarely fond of those who came close.
They were at least considered among the top LEC teams whenever a discussion broke out. A measly consolation prize, but still.
Coming into 2019, the organization made a couple changes that could have a positive impact on FC Schalke as well as improve their chances of reaching the top — and staying there.
While I can’t confidently predict how high they could go, they definitely have the potential to compete with the best in the region. Andrei “Odoamne” Pascu and Jonas “Memento” Elmarghichi could become one of the most aggressive and dangerous top-jungle duos in the LEC. Meanwhile, Elias “Upset” Lipp and Lee “IgNar” Dong-geun seem like a match made in heaven, with both players having immense confidence and mechanical prowess.
The only question mark is their new mid laner, Felix “Abbedagge” Braun. Although he might be unknown to the average LEC fan, he’s far from a rookie and has already made a name for himself in the Turkish region.
Overall, it’ll be extremely exciting to see just how well this team meshes and ranks up against staple LEC teams.
Splyce
Much like FC Schalke 04, the current Splyce roster has a ton of potential, at least on paper. Whether or not they’ll do well remains to be seen, but they have the right ingredients for a really solid mid-tier team.
If Marek “Humanoid” Brázda plays up to his full potential, you could argue that Splyce upgraded with every single change they made. Tamás “Vizicsacsi” Kiss is definitely the more versatile and capable top laner and Tore Hoel “Norskeren” Eilertsen proved to be one of the best performers from the 2018 Team ROCCAT line-up. Raymond “kaSing” Tsang wasn’t bad by any means, his mechanics often weren’t up to snuff and in the highly competitive LEC support pool that was sometimes a problem.
This team isn’t exactly championship material, but they have a lot going for them. They should be a lot more versatile than the Splyce of 2018, and if they synergize well, they could pose quite an interesting challenge for any team in the LEC.
Origen
Next up, we have Origen. The only organization on this list that has managed to reach the top of competitive League of Legends, and then hit rock bottom quickly afterward. In this case, “rock bottom” basically means getting relegated.
As I see it, the Origen of 2019 is an experiment. There’s a lot to like about this roster. However, even though this team features numerous fan-favorite veterans and revered shotcallers, they’re still not a powerhouse.
These players have too much leeway with fans nowadays, and they didn’t do enough to warrant it. Barney “Alphari” Morris was fantastic in 2017, but he never achieved more than his top lane peers. Erlend Våtevik “Nukeduck” Holm has been good (but not great) for years, and Alfonso Aguirre “Mithy” Rodríguez just had the worst year of his career with Team SoloMid in North America.
That doesn’t exactly build hype, now does it?
So why are they on this list? Because if everything does click, if they get the right guidance, and if they still have that competitive fire burning inside, they have the potential to do some serious damage to the LEC status quo.
But all that hinges on a huge if.
If you combine four fantastic veterans, a highly skilled rookie, and a great head coach with a proven track record, there’s potential for good things. They could become one of the top LEC teams, but there are a lot of variables, and the odds are stacked against them.
What’ll happen remains to be seen but watching Origen’s development throughout 2019 will be extremely interesting. Just don’t expect too much. This “experiment” could seriously backfire.
G2 Esports
Finally, we have G2 Esports. To be fair, putting the former “kings of Europe” on this list is kind of cheating, especially considering the fact that they already occupy the very top of the region, alongside Fnatic. Everyone is expecting them to do well, so there’s no element of surprise.
Las Vegas Odds
But with Luka “Perkz” Perković moving over to the bottom lane, you’ll have to watch all of their upcoming games. You simply must.
There hasn’t been a moment like this in Western League of Legends history. Players transition into different roles fairly frequently, but you never had a player of Perkz’s caliber and reputation do it. He was not just one of the best mid laners in the region, but one of the best European players, period.
His mechanical prowess and in-game impact are second to none. When you give him a couple of good teammates, the guy can do wonders on the Rift — as shown at the World Championship.
This time around, he can vacate the mid lane and test things out as an AD carry. With Rasmus “Caps” Winther taking up his former position, he can experiment with full confidence, knowing that he has a successor worthy of the G2 “lane kingdom.”
The 2018 G2 Esports line-up reached Top 4 within a single regular season. That’s an astonishing achievement, no matter how you look at it. Even more impressive is that they did so with a bottom lane duo many deemed painfully mediocre.
With Perkz in the bottom lane, the sky’s the limit for this G2 roster. Furthermore, when you pair him up with Mihael “Mikyx” Mehle, you can potentially get a Top 3 bottom lane in a region that’s already stacked with bottom lane talent.
If this roster shuffle pans out as well as it could, G2 Esports could reclaim the LEC trophy in 2019.
Honorable Mention — SK Gaming
There is one more team. They won’t leave you glued to your seat, but they’ll still be fun to watch.
SK Gaming is re-entering the LEC after years of being out of the scene, and they’re fielding a roster that could become a fairly strong, middle of the pack team.
Their line-up is interesting, mainly because it’s hard to rank them within the current LEC line-up. They’re definitely not a top contender, but they’re not exactly bottom tier either. Because of this, they have the potential to upset. The fact that SK is bringing in three players from Mad Lion E.C. that already have built-in synergy could be huge, at least in the Spring Split when most teams struggle to find their footing.
Lec Betting Odds
Their line-up is an interesting mix of veterans and rookies, and they could do some damage early on in the split. Jorge “Werlyb” Casanovas Moreno-Torres and Oskar “Selfmade” Boderek have the potential to become a fairly strong top-jungle duo, and if Choi “Pirean” Jun-sik steps up, they could very well compete with the likes of Splyce and FC Schalke 04.
Again, this team is no powerhouse, but it doesn’t have to be. Furthermore, they’re coached by Fabian “Sheepy” Mallant (former Unicorns of Love coach), one of the most underrated coaches Europe has to offer. Sheepy has consistently been molding young players into solid LEC talent. The odds are stacked against Sheepy, but this isn’t his first rodeo.
Lec Spring Odds
Lec Winner Odds
This SK roster could reach the playoffs come Spring Split, and although it’s unlikely, it’s far from impossible. In fact, stranger things have happened in the LEC.
The heights this team can reach aren’t mind-blowing by any means, but they could be the biggest dark horse of the 2019 LEC season.
This year marks the ninth competitive international tournament that brings all major League of Legends regions into one place. Each major region sends their top three teams to compete at this tournament, as well as minor regions competing through the play-in stage. There are also wildcard regions that are allowed a single slot to try to climb their way through the ranks of the warriors and prove that their region deserves to be there.
Lec Live Odds
In total, there are 24 teams at the event, with 12 of them having to compete through the play-in stage. The major regions competing are: China (LPL), Europe (LEC), North America (LCS), South Korea (LCK), Taiwan/Hong Kong/Macau (LMS), and Vietnam (VCS). These regions have been recognized as major regions and are allowed to push through a number of teams directly into the Main Event’s group stage.
Bovada Lec Odds
Along with these regions, are minor regions that will be competing in the play-in stage for four spots in the main event. These regions, along with many of the third ranked representatives from the major regions, are: the CIS (LCL), Latin America (LLA), Turkey (TCL), Brazil (CBLoL), Japan (LJL), Oceania (OPL), and Southeast Asia (LST). In the play-in stage, each region only holds one representative each, so many teams are fighting for their lives.